Ethereum above ___ on October 12?
By PolySays EditorialReporting published Editorial method
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.
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- Current leader
- 35%Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12?
- Largest 24h move
- -41.0 pp
- 24h volume
- 2.4K
- Liquidity
- 41.3K
Top candidates
1 outcome
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12?
35%
-41.0 pp 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12? — probability rises to 30%
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Latest chart observation: . Reporting is updated separately.
Story so far
Published updateThe tracked probability rose to 30%, up 7.0 percentage points from 23% in the latest observation window. The reason for this increase has not been verified.
This summary reflects the reporting below. Market odds can change between published updates.
Latest published update
Published
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12? — probability rises to 30%
The tracked probability rose to 30%, up 7.0 percentage points from 23% in the latest observation window. The reason for this increase has not been verified.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No confirmed catalyst is recorded in this summary.
Unresolved questions
- Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
This update compares two recorded prices. A price change does not, by itself, confirm a development in the underlying event.
What changed
Probability moved from 23% to 30% (+7 percentage points). Observations were 28 minutes 28 seconds apart: 2026-10-08 17:51:40 UTC to 2026-10-08 18:20:08 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
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