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Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC - More Markets

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More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for October 17 at 12:30 PM ET.

Current leader

Largest 24h move-2.6 pp 24h

24h volume: $460.8
Liquidity: $0
Closed: Oct 17, 2026, 4:30 PM UTC

Top candidates

3 outcomes

Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 4.5
-2.6 pp 24h0%
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 7.5
-1.3 pp 24h0%
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5
-0.4 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring onlyOct 17

Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 0.4%

The tracked probability fell to 0.4%, down 44.1 percentage points from 44.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Over: 45% → 0%

-44.1 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 6:35 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 44.5% to 0.4% (-44.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T18:15:40.192Z to 2026-10-17T18:32:56.218Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 44.5% → 0.4%
What changed
Probability moved from 44.5% to 0.4% (-44.1 percentage points). Observations were 17 minutes 16 seconds apart: 2026-10-17 18:15:40 UTC to 2026-10-17 18:32:56 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 6:35 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 48.45% to 0.05% (-48.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T18:15:40.192Z to 2026-10-17T18:32:56.218Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 6:34 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 19.5% to 0.05% (-19.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T18:15:40.192Z to 2026-10-17T18:32:56.218Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 6:18 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.25% to 44.5% (+44.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T18:02:12.136Z to 2026-10-17T18:15:40.192Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 6:18 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.2% to 48.45% (+48.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T18:02:12.136Z to 2026-10-17T18:15:40.192Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 6:17 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 13.5% to 19.5% (+6 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T18:02:12.136Z to 2026-10-17T18:15:40.192Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 48% to 0.25% (-47.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T17:45:55.885Z to 2026-10-17T18:02:12.136Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 6:04 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 39% to 0.2% (-38.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T17:45:55.885Z to 2026-10-17T18:02:12.136Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for October 17 at 12:30 PM ET.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 0.4%

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