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Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Oct 13, 2026, 12:42 PM UTCEditorial method

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

Current leader

100%

Largest 24h move+81.7 pp 24h

24h volume: $129.7K
Liquidity: $0
Closed: Oct 13, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
+81.7 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring onlyOct 13

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? — probability rises to 90.95%

The tracked probability rose to 90.95%, up 4.2 percentage points from 86.75% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 87% → 91%

+4.2 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch for official confirmation, independent reporting, sustained volume, and whether later market observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.
The measured move
Yes: 86.8% → 91.0%
What changed
Probability moved from 86.75% to 90.95% (+4.2 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 51 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 12:27:39 UTC to 2026-10-13 12:42:30 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch for official confirmation, independent reporting, sustained volume, and whether later market observations hold the new level.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data".

Read the complete resolution rules

If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Maps and resolution sources

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? — probability rises to 90.95%

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