Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyNorwich City FC vs. Southampton FC: Southampton FC O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 0.05%
The observed probability fell from 49.5% to 0.05%, a decrease of 49.45 percentage points.
Over: 50% → 0%
-49.5 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
More markets for the EFL Championship game, scheduled for October 14 at 2:45 PM ET.
Current leader
0%
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4 outcomes
Norwich City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5
Norwich City FC vs. Southampton FC: Norwich City FC O/U 0.5
Norwich City FC vs. Southampton FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Norwich City FC vs. Southampton FC: Southampton FC O/U 4.5
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe observed probability fell from 49.5% to 0.05%, a decrease of 49.45 percentage points.
Over: 50% → 0%
-49.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe observed probability fell from 49.5% to 0.05%, a decrease of 49.45 percentage points.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
This brief records how the contract was priced at two points in time. The direction and size of the move are measured; a reason for the move has not been verified.
The measured move
Over: 49.5% → 0.1%
Probability moved from 49.5% to 0.05% (-49.45 percentage points). Observations were 12 minutes 15 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 20:35:01 UTC to 2026-10-14 20:47:17 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the EFL Championship game, scheduled for October 14 at 2:45 PM ET.
Living timeline · 8 significant updates
Norwich City FC vs. Southampton FC: Southampton FC O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 0.05%
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