More markets for the FA Cup game, scheduled for October 20 at 2:45 PM ET.
Current leader
100%
100%
2 outcomes
Spread: Alvechurch FC (-2.5)
Alvechurch FC vs. Spalding United FC: Alvechurch FC O/U 3.5
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 100%, up 10.0 percentage points from 90% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 90% → 100%
+10.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 100%, up 10.0 percentage points from 90% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 90% to 100% (+10 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T23:46:35.952Z to 2026-10-21T00:15:37.453Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 90% → 100%
Probability moved from 90% to 100% (+10 percentage points). Observations were 29 minutes 2 seconds apart: 2026-10-20 23:46:35 UTC to 2026-10-21 00:15:37 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 90% to 100% (+10 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T23:17:47.845Z to 2026-10-20T23:46:35.952Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the FA Cup game, scheduled for October 20 at 2:45 PM ET.
Living timeline · 2 significant updates
Alvechurch FC vs. Spalding United FC: Alvechurch FC O/U 3.5 — probability rises to 100%
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