Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlySpread: 1. FC Magdeburg (-1.5) — probability rises to 3.9%
The tracked probability rose to 3.9%, up 3.3 percentage points from 0.6% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
1. FC Magdeburg: 1% → 4%
+3.3 pp