activePolitics-1% 24h

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Acting President Delcy Rodríguez ceases to be leader of Venezuela for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

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Current leader
No 91%
Leader 24h
-1%
24h volume
106.9
Liquidity
17.9K

Top outcomes

2 outcomes

No

91%

-1% 24h

Yes

9%

+1% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

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Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Acting President Delcy Rodríguez ceases to be leader of Venezuela for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Delcy Rodríguez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Delcy Rodríguez and the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Odds chart

Probability over time

Odds chart showing latest No probability of 91%.

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