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Dancing With The Stars S35: Week 5 Eliminations

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed celebrity's team is eliminated from Dancing With The Stars: Season 35 by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM PT.

Current leader

0%

0%

Largest 24h move-46.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$726.8
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

2 outcomes

  • Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?

    -46.0 pp 24h0%
  • Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?

    -46.9 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Will Guillermo Rodriguez be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? — probability rises to 98.95%

The tracked probability rose to 98.95%, up 3.5 percentage points from 95.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 96% → 99%

+3.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability rose to 98.95%, up 3.5 percentage points from 95.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch for official confirmation, independent reporting, sustained volume, and whether later market observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.

    The measured move

    Yes: 95.5% → 99.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 95.5% to 98.95% (+3.45 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 31 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 02:30:04 UTC to 2026-10-14 03:00:35 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official confirmation, independent reporting, sustained volume, and whether later market observations hold the new level.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed celebrity's team is eliminated from Dancing With The Stars: Season 35 by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM PT.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Dancing With The Stars is a reality dance competition in which celebrities are paired with professional dancers to perform dance routines. A team that withdraws, or is otherwise removed from the competition, during the specified timeframe will count as eliminated. If no elimination occurs during the specified timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35.

Living timeline · 2 significant updates

Will Guillermo Rodriguez be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? — probability rises to 98.95%

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