Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyMap Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5) — probability rises to 99.95%
The observed probability rose from 89% to 99.95%, an increase of 10.95 percentage points.
100 Thieves: 89% → 100%
+10.9 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Opening match between 100 Thieves and JiJieHao in the Stake Pulse Beat III Group B, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.
Current leader
100%
100%
2 outcomes
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe observed probability rose from 89% to 99.95%, an increase of 10.95 percentage points.
100 Thieves: 89% → 100%
+10.9 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe observed probability rose from 89% to 99.95%, an increase of 10.95 percentage points.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
This update compares two recorded market observations. The price change describes trading in this contract; the available data does not establish its cause.
The measured move
100 Thieves: 89.0% → 100.0%
Probability moved from 89% to 99.95% (+10.95 percentage points). Observations were 20 minutes 27 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 11:17:05 UTC to 2026-10-13 11:37:33 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Opening match between 100 Thieves and JiJieHao in the Stake Pulse Beat III Group B, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against JiJieHao. This market will resolve to "JiJieHao" if JiJieHao win the match against 100 Thieves.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET).
If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from.
However, if has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching.
Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition.
If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5) — probability rises to 99.95%
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