This market refers to the cricket match between Romania Women and Bulgaria Women scheduled for October 16 2026 at 3:00 AM ET in ECA Women's European Cup T20.
Current leader
0%
0%
1 outcome
ECA Women's European Cup T20: Romania Women vs Bulgaria Women
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 22.4 percentage points from 22.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Romania Women: 23% → 0%
-22.4 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 22.4 percentage points from 22.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 22.5% to 0.05% (-22.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T10:34:13.027Z to 2026-10-16T11:04:27.542Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Romania Women: 22.5% → 0.05%
Probability moved from 22.5% to 0.05% (-22.45 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 15 seconds apart: 2026-10-16 10:34:13 UTC to 2026-10-16 11:04:27 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 46% to 22.5% (-23.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T10:02:32.389Z to 2026-10-16T10:34:13.027Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 22% to 46% (+24 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T09:49:34.325Z to 2026-10-16T10:02:32.389Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market refers to the cricket match between Romania Women and Bulgaria Women scheduled for October 16 2026 at 3:00 AM ET in ECA Women's European Cup T20. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Living timeline · 3 significant updates
ECA Women's European Cup T20: Romania Women vs Bulgaria Women — probability falls to 0.05%
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ECA Women's European Cup T20: Romania Women vs Bulgaria Women
PlungeECA Women's European Cup T20: Romania Women vs Bulgaria Women
SurgeECA Women's European Cup T20: Romania Women vs Bulgaria Women
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