By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Alianza FC and Águilas Doradas Rionegro.
Current leader
100%
100%
2 outcomes
Will Alianza FC vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro end in a draw?
Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-10-09?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 0.1 percentage points from 0.2% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 0% → 0%
-0.1 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 0.1 percentage points from 0.2% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.
The measured move
Yes: 0.2% → 0.1%
Probability moved from 0.2% to 0.05% (-0.15 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 24 seconds apart: 2026-10-10 01:00:57 UTC to 2026-10-10 01:10:22 UTC. The move also met PolySays' high-volume-shock threshold.
Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Alianza FC and Águilas Doradas Rionegro.
Living timeline · 3 significant updates
Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-10-09? — probability falls to 0.05%
Keep exploring
Alianza FC vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro
PlungeAlianza FC vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro
SurgeAlianza FC vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro
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