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KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

More markets for the UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for October 15 at 12:45 PM ET.

Current leader

0%

0%

Largest 24h move-71.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$12.3K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

5 outcomes

  • KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    -71.5 pp 24h0%

  • KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: KAA Gent O/U 4.5

    -3.5 pp 24h0%

  • KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 8.5

    -3.4 pp 24h0%

  • KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 7.5

    -0.8 pp 24h0%

  • KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5

    -75.9 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: KAA Gent O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 0.45%

The tracked probability fell to 0.45%, down 49.5 percentage points from 50% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Over: 50% → 0%

-49.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 0.45%, down 49.5 percentage points from 50% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 50% to 0.45% (-49.55 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T18:30:25.774Z to 2026-10-15T18:45:28.046Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    Over: 50% → 0.45%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 50% to 0.45% (-49.55 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 2 seconds apart: 2026-10-15 18:30:25 UTC to 2026-10-15 18:45:28 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

More markets for the UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for October 15 at 12:45 PM ET.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: KAA Gent O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 0.45%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Plunge

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: KAA Gent O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 0.45%

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

Surge

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: KAA Gent O/U 4.5 — probability rises to 49.5%

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

Plunge

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: KAA Gent O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 3%

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

Surge

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: KAA Gent O/U 4.5 — probability rises to 49%

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

Plunge

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: KAA Gent O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 6.5%

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

Surge

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: KAA Gent O/U 4.5 — probability rises to 17.5%

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

Plunge

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 0.2%

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

Plunge

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 7.5 — probability falls to 0.2%

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

Plunge

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: KAA Gent O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 13.5%

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

Plunge

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 16.85%

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

Surge

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 8.5 — probability rises to 47.65%

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

Surge

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF: KAA Gent O/U 4.5 — probability rises to 50%

KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF - More Markets

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