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Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Post

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colgate-Palmolive reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.96 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.

Current leader

47.5%

48%

Largest 24h move0.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$64
Scheduled close

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

    0.0 pp 24h48%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability rises to 47.5%

The tracked probability rose to 47.5%, up 10.5 percentage points from 37% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 37% → 48%

+10.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability rose to 47.5%, up 10.5 percentage points from 37% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 37% to 47.5% (+10.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T02:17:21.315Z to 2026-10-20T02:31:03.998Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    Yes: 37% → 47.5%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 37% to 47.5% (+10.5 percentage points). Observations were 13 minutes 43 seconds apart: 2026-10-20 02:17:21 UTC to 2026-10-20 02:31:03 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

  2. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 45.5% to 37% (-8.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T01:47:48.548Z to 2026-10-20T02:02:01.105Z (UTC).

  3. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 55.5% to 46% (-9.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T00:00:37.301Z to 2026-10-20T00:17:20.899Z (UTC).

  4. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 46.5% to 55.5% (+9 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T23:45:56.897Z to 2026-10-20T00:00:37.301Z (UTC).

  5. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 50.5% to 46% (-4.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T10:01:34.905Z to 2026-10-19T10:15:56.628Z (UTC).

  6. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 63.5% to 50% (-13.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T02:31:48.088Z to 2026-10-19T02:47:02.810Z (UTC).

  7. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 44.5% to 63.5% (+19 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T02:18:02.573Z to 2026-10-19T02:31:48.088Z (UTC).

  8. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 53% to 42.5% (-10.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T00:45:47.137Z to 2026-10-19T01:01:36.587Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colgate-Palmolive reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.96 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.

Resolves No

Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.

As of market creation, Colgate-Palmolive is estimated to release earnings on October 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Colgate-Palmolive’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.96 as of market creation. If Colgate-Palmolive releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.

If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha.

Read the complete resolution rules

If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).

Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.

Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.

Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability rises to 47.5%

Keep exploring

Surge

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability rises to 47.5%

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Plunge

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability falls to 37%

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Plunge

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability falls to 46%

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Surge

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability rises to 55.5%

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Plunge

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability falls to 46%

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Plunge

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability falls to 50%

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Surge

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability rises to 63.5%

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Plunge

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability falls to 42.5%

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Surge

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability rises to 53%

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Plunge

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability falls to 47%

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Surge

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability rises to 56%

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Plunge

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? — probability falls to 45.5%

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

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