In the upcoming China League 1 game between Shaanxi Union FC and Guandong GZ-Power FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Current leader
100%
100%
1 outcome
Shaanxi Union FC leading at halftime?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 50.0 percentage points from 50% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 50% → 100%
+50.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 50.0 percentage points from 50% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 50% to 99.95% (+49.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T08:45:07.910Z to 2026-10-18T09:17:01.834Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 50% → 99.95%
Probability moved from 50% to 99.95% (+49.95 percentage points). Observations were 31 minutes 54 seconds apart: 2026-10-18 08:45:07 UTC to 2026-10-18 09:17:01 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 95% to 50% (-45 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T08:16:02.908Z to 2026-10-18T08:45:07.910Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the upcoming China League 1 game between Shaanxi Union FC and Guandong GZ-Power FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Living timeline · 2 significant updates
Shaanxi Union FC leading at halftime? — probability rises to 99.95%
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