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Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC - More Markets

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 9 at 7:35 AM ET.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+73.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$51.5K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

9 outcomes

  • Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)

    +73.5 pp 24h100%

  • Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Beijing Guoan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5

    +70.0 pp 24h100%

  • Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Beijing Guoan FC O/U 2.5

    +54.9 pp 24h100%

  • Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)

    +52.0 pp 24h100%

  • Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    +54.4 pp 24h100%
Show all outcomes

  • Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

    100%

    +13.5 pp

  • Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 0.5

    0%

    -64.5 pp

  • Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Score

    0%

    -59.5 pp

  • Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

    0%

    -58.0 pp

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgePartly sourced

Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) — probability rises to 99.95%

The tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 21.4 percentage points from 78.5% in the latest observation window. Only background evidence is available, so it is not used to explain the repricing.

Beijing Guoan FC: 79% → 100%

+21.4 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 78.5%, down 4.0 percentage points from 82.5% in the latest observation window. The cause of this move is not established.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Check a verified score for this fixture and the official result used to settle the goal-margin contract.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. The supplied source is background rather than direct evidence of the underlying development. It is retained as context and is not used to infer a cause for the repricing.

    The measured move

    Beijing Guoan FC: 78.5% → 100.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 78.5% to 99.95% (+21.45 percentage points). Observations were 29 minutes 52 seconds apart: 2026-10-09 13:20:47 UTC to 2026-10-09 13:50:39 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

    Sources

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 9 at 7:35 AM ET.

Living timeline · 2 significant updates

Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) — probability rises to 99.95%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Surge

Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) — probability rises to 99.95%

Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC - More Markets

Plunge

Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) — probability falls to 78.5%

Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC - More Markets

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