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Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

In the upcoming college football game between Western Kentucky and Sam Houston, scheduled for October 14 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Western Kentucky" if Western Kentucky win the game.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move-84.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$97.3K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

12 outcomes

  • Spread: Western Kentucky (-10.5)

    +77.0 pp 24h100%
  • Spread: Western Kentucky (-8.5)

    +73.0 pp 24h100%
  • Spread: Western Kentucky (-7.5)

    +70.5 pp 24h100%
  • Spread: Western Kentucky (-6.5)

    +66.5 pp 24h100%
  • Spread: Western Kentucky (-5.5)

    +63.5 pp 24h100%
Show all outcomes
  • Spread: Western Kentucky (-4.5)

    100%

    +62.5 pp

  • Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: O/U 37.5

    0%

    -84.0 pp

  • Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: O/U 35.5

    0%

    -87.0 pp

  • Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: O/U 39.5

    0%

    -80.0 pp

  • Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: O/U 41.5

    0%

    -77.0 pp

  • Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: O/U 43.5

    0%

    -72.5 pp

  • Western Kentucky Team Total: O/U 20.5

    0%

    -72.5 pp

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: O/U 37.5 — probability falls to 0.45%

The tracked probability fell to 0.45%, down 5.5 percentage points from 6% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Over: 6% → 0%

-5.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 0.45%, down 5.5 percentage points from 6% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.

    The measured move

    Over: 6.0% → 0.4%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 6% to 0.45% (-5.55 percentage points). Observations were 29 minutes 59 seconds apart: 2026-10-15 02:52:17 UTC to 2026-10-15 03:22:16 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming college football game between Western Kentucky and Sam Houston, scheduled for October 14 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Western Kentucky" if Western Kentucky win the game. This market will resolve to "Sam Houston" if Sam Houston win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Living timeline · 2 significant updates

Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: O/U 37.5 — probability falls to 0.45%

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