In the upcoming college football game between Memphis and Tulane, scheduled for October 16 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game.
Current leader
100%
100%
5 outcomes
Spread: Tulane (-5.5)
Spread: Tulane (-4.5)
Spread: Tulane (-6.5)
Spread: Tulane (-3.5)
Spread: Tulane (-2.5)
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 100%, up 6.1 percentage points from 93.9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Tulane: 94% → 100%
+6.1 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 100%, up 6.1 percentage points from 93.9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 93.9% to 100% (+6.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T03:02:42.465Z to 2026-10-17T03:30:27.328Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Tulane: 93.9% → 100%
Probability moved from 93.9% to 100% (+6.1 percentage points). Observations were 27 minutes 45 seconds apart: 2026-10-17 03:02:42 UTC to 2026-10-17 03:30:27 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the upcoming college football game between Memphis and Tulane, scheduled for October 16 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game. This market will resolve to "Tulane" if Tulane win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Spread: Tulane (-6.5) — probability rises to 100%
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