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Iowa State vs. BYU

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

In the upcoming college football game between Iowa State and BYU, scheduled for October 9 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game.

Current leader

0%

0%

Largest 24h move-69.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$35.3K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Iowa State vs. BYU: O/U 39.5

    -69.0 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeWell sourced

Iowa State vs. BYU: O/U 39.5 — probability falls to 0%

The tracked probability fell to 0%, down 18.0 percentage points from 18% in the latest observation window. One supplied report provides relevant context, but it is not enough to explain why the market repriced.

Over: 18% → 0%

-18.0 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Monitoring

PolySays is monitoring this market.

No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.

No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. The evidence set includes an item from The New York Times titled “How to watch Iowa State vs. No. 8 BYU: TV channel and streaming options for October 9 - The New York Times”. It is relevant one-source context, but its timing does not establish why the market repriced.

    The measured move

    Over: 18.0% → 0.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 18% to 0% (-18 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 2 seconds apart: 2026-10-10 05:30:56 UTC to 2026-10-10 06:00:58 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

    Sources

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming college football game between Iowa State and BYU, scheduled for October 9 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game. This market will resolve to "BYU" if BYU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Iowa State vs. BYU: O/U 39.5 — probability falls to 0%

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