By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Washington, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game.
Current leader
100%
100%
12 outcomes
Spread: Iowa (-14.5)
Spread: Iowa (-13.5)
Spread: Iowa (-10.5)
Spread: Iowa (-7.5)
Spread: Iowa (-16.5)
Spread: Iowa (-6.5)
100%
+75.0 pp
Spread: Iowa (-5.5)
100%
+72.5 pp
Spread: Iowa (-4.5)
100%
+71.0 pp
Spread: Iowa (-3.5)
100%
+67.0 pp
Spread: Iowa (-2.5)
100%
+62.5 pp
Spread: Iowa (-1.5)
100%
+60.5 pp
Iowa vs. Washington
100%
+56.5 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 99.5%, up 17.0 percentage points from 82.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Iowa: 83% → 100%
+17.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 99.5%, up 17.0 percentage points from 82.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.
The measured move
Iowa: 82.5% → 99.5%
Probability moved from 82.5% to 99.5% (+17 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 50 seconds apart: 2026-10-10 04:20:21 UTC to 2026-10-10 04:30:11 UTC.
Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Washington, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Spread: Iowa (-16.5) — probability rises to 99.5%
Keep exploring
Iowa vs. Washington
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SurgeIowa vs. Washington
PlungeIowa vs. Washington
PlungeIowa vs. Washington
PlungeIowa vs. Washington
PlungeIowa vs. Washington
SurgeIowa vs. Washington
SurgeIowa vs. Washington
SurgeIowa vs. Washington
PlungeIowa vs. Washington
PlungeIowa vs. Washington
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