By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Louisville, scheduled for October 9 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game.
Current leader
100%
100%
6 outcomes
Spread: Louisville (-7.5)
Spread: Louisville (-6.5)
Spread: Louisville (-13.5)
Spread: Louisville (-14.5)
Spread: Louisville (-8.5)
Spread: Louisville (-5.5)
100%
+55.5 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgePartly sourcedThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 9.8 percentage points from 90.15% in the latest observation window. Only background evidence is available, so it is not used to explain the repricing.
Louisville: 90% → 100%
+9.8 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 5.5 percentage points from 94.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
Odds chart
Living timeline
The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. The supplied source is background rather than direct evidence of the underlying development. It is retained as context and is not used to infer a cause for the repricing.
The measured move
Louisville: 90.1% → 100.0%
Probability moved from 90.15% to 99.95% (+9.8 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 20 seconds apart: 2026-10-10 02:20:05 UTC to 2026-10-10 02:50:25 UTC.
Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.
PrizePicks
Florida State vs. Louisville Prediction, Spread, NCAAF Picks Today – 10/9/26 PrizePicks
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Louisville, scheduled for October 9 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Living timeline · 11 significant updates
Spread: Louisville (-13.5) — probability rises to 99.95%
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