In the upcoming college football game between East Carolina and UAB, scheduled for October 15 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "East Carolina" if East Carolina win the game.
Current leader
100%
100%
2 outcomes
East Carolina vs. UAB: O/U 35.5
East Carolina vs. UAB: O/U 41.5
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 99.6%, up 44.3 percentage points from 55.3% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 55% → 100%
+44.3 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 99.6%, up 44.3 percentage points from 55.3% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 55.3% to 99.6% (+44.3 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T03:06:40.575Z to 2026-10-16T03:34:35.290Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 55.3% → 99.6%
Probability moved from 55.3% to 99.6% (+44.3 percentage points). Observations were 27 minutes 55 seconds apart: 2026-10-16 03:06:40 UTC to 2026-10-16 03:34:35 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 1.5% to 55.3% (+53.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T02:46:33.864Z to 2026-10-16T03:06:40.575Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 7% to 99.05% (+92.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T02:46:33.864Z to 2026-10-16T03:06:40.575Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the upcoming college football game between East Carolina and UAB, scheduled for October 15 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "East Carolina" if East Carolina win the game. This market will resolve to "UAB" if UAB win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Living timeline · 3 significant updates
East Carolina vs. UAB: O/U 41.5 — probability rises to 99.6%
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