More markets for the Copa del Rey game, scheduled for October 27 at 4:00 PM ET.
Current leader
98.4%
98%
Largest 24h move+31.4 pp 24h
24h volume
$84
Liquidity
$3.2K
Scheduled close
Top candidates
3 outcomes
CD Manacor vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5
+45.9 pp 24h98%
CD Manacor vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 0.5
+31.4 pp 24h83%
Spread: CD Manacor (-2.5)
-44.0 pp 24h2%
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring only
CD Manacor vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 0.5 — probability falls to 82.9%
The tracked probability fell to 82.9%, down 15.1 percentage points from 97.95% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Living timeline
Significant updates
Coverage updated
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 97.95% to 82.9% (-15.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-27T10:47:50.749Z to 2026-10-27T12:04:02.415Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 97.95% → 82.9%
What changed
Probability moved from 97.95% to 82.9% (-15.05 percentage points). Observations were 1 hour 16 minutes 12 seconds apart: 2026-10-27 10:47:50 UTC to 2026-10-27 12:04:02 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official description
How this market is decided
Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
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Source market
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