California Governor Election Winner
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Current leader
- Xavier Becerra 89%
- Largest 24h move
- Xavier Becerra +0%
- 24h volume
- 35.1K
- Liquidity
- 6.9M
Top candidates
23 outcomes
Xavier Becerra
89%
+0% 24h
Steve Hilton
8%
-0% 24h
Chad Bianco
0%
0% 24h
Tom Steyer
0%
0% 24h
Rick Caruso
0%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Katie Porter
0%
0%
Stephen Cloobeck
0%
0%
Betty Yee
0%
0%
Kyle Langford
0%
0%
Eleni Kounalakis
0%
0%
Tony Thurmond
0%
0%
Leo Zacky
0%
0%
Eric Swalwell
0%
0%
Kamala Harris
0%
0%
Elaine Culotti
0%
0%
Alex Padilla
0%
0%
Antonio Villaraigosa
0%
0%
Butch Ware
0%
0%
Toni Atkins
0%
0%
Daniel Mercuri
0%
0%
Michael Younger
0%
0%
Nicole Shanahan
0%
0%
Matt Mahan
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Xavier Becerra probability of 94%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline