Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
- Current leader
- between 5.00% and 5.49% 37%
- Largest 24h move
- between 4.00% and 4.49% +3%
- 24h volume
- 1.4K
- Liquidity
- 42.2K
Top candidates
10 outcomes
between 5.00% and 5.49%
37%
+3% 24h
between 4.50% and 4.99%
30%
+2% 24h
between 5.50% and 5.99%
16%
+0% 24h
between 6.00% and 6.49%
7%
-0% 24h
between 4.00% and 4.49%
5%
+3% 24h
Show all outcomes
between 6.50% and 6.99%
4%
-0%
at least 7.00%
2%
+1%
between 3.00% and 3.49%
1%
-0%
between 3.50% and 3.99%
1%
+2%
less than 3.00%
1%
-1%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Read the complete resolution rules
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (, locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see:
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest between 5.00% and 5.49% probability of 36%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline