Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlySpread: SE Palmeiras (-3.5) — probability falls to 0.05%
This outcome's observed probability decreased by 89.4 percentage points to 0.05%, from 89.45%.
SE Palmeiras: 89% → 0%
-89.4 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for October 11 at 4:30 PM ET.
Current leader
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5 outcomes
SE Palmeiras vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
SE Palmeiras vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
SE Palmeiras vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SE Palmeiras O/U 3.5
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-3.5)
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThis outcome's observed probability decreased by 89.4 percentage points to 0.05%, from 89.45%.
SE Palmeiras: 89% → 0%
-89.4 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThis outcome's observed probability decreased by 89.4 percentage points to 0.05%, from 89.45%.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
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Odds chart
Living timeline
The market observations support the prices and change shown here. A price move alone cannot confirm a real-world result or explain traders' decisions.
The measured move
SE Palmeiras: 89.5% → 0.1%
Probability moved from 89.45% to 0.05% (-89.4 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 21 seconds apart: 2026-10-11 22:10:21 UTC to 2026-10-11 22:40:42 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
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Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for October 11 at 4:30 PM ET.
Living timeline · 2 significant updates
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-3.5) — probability falls to 0.05%
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