This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 between CA Paranaense and CR Vasco da Gama.
Current leader
100%
100%
1 outcome
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 99.45%, up 5.9 percentage points from 93.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 94% → 99%
+5.9 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 99.45%, up 5.9 percentage points from 93.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 93.5% to 99.45% (+5.95 percentage points), from 2026-11-05T00:03:59.802Z to 2026-11-05T00:18:04.236Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 93.5% → 99.45%
Probability moved from 93.5% to 99.45% (+5.95 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 4 seconds apart: 2026-11-05 00:03:59 UTC to 2026-11-05 00:18:04 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 between CA Paranaense and CR Vasco da Gama.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04? — probability rises to 99.45%
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