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Brisbane Bullets vs. Perth Wildcats

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In the upcoming NBL game between Brisbane Bullets and Perth Wildcats, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Brisbane Bullets win, the market will resolve to "Brisbane Bullets".

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+57.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$62K
Liquidity
$53K
Scheduled close

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Brisbane Bullets vs. Perth Wildcats

    +57.0 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Brisbane Bullets vs. Perth Wildcats — probability rises to 98.3%

The tracked probability rose to 98.3%, up 7.3 percentage points from 91% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Brisbane Bullets: 91% → 98%

+7.3 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability rose to 98.3%, up 7.3 percentage points from 91% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 91% to 98.3% (+7.3 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T10:09:52.320Z to 2026-11-04T10:21:14.669Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    Brisbane Bullets: 91% → 98.3%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 91% to 98.3% (+7.3 percentage points). Observations were 11 minutes 22 seconds apart: 2026-11-04 10:09:52 UTC to 2026-11-04 10:21:14 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming NBL game between Brisbane Bullets and Perth Wildcats, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Brisbane Bullets win, the market will resolve to "Brisbane Bullets". If the Perth Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Perth Wildcats".

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Read the complete resolution rules

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Brisbane Bullets vs. Perth Wildcats — probability rises to 98.3%

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