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activeSports+21.1 pp 24h

Cibona vs. Galatasaray

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

In the upcoming Basketball Champions League game, scheduled for October 6 at 2:00PM ET: If the Cibona win, the market will resolve to "Cibona".

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Current leader
50.6% 51%
Largest 24h move
+21.1 pp
24h volume
6.9K
Liquidity
109.3

Top candidates

1 outcome

Cibona vs. Galatasaray

51%

+21.1 pp 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

In the upcoming Basketball Champions League game, scheduled for October 6 at 2:00PM ET: If the Cibona win, the market will resolve to "Cibona". If the Galatasaray win, the market will resolve to "Galatasaray". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Cibona vs. Galatasaray — probability falls to 50.85%

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 50.85%, down 48.7 percentage points from 99.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Latest update

Cibona vs. Galatasaray — probability falls to 50.85%

The tracked probability fell to 50.85%, down 48.7 percentage points from 99.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.

    What changed

    Probability moved from 99.5% to 50.85% (-48.65 percentage points). Observations were 29 minutes 40 seconds apart: 2026-10-06 17:51:55 UTC to 2026-10-06 18:21:35 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

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