In the upcoming LNB game, scheduled for October 18 at 7:30PM ET: If the Regatas win, the market will resolve to "Regatas".
Current leader
100%
100%
2 outcomes
Regatas vs. Olimpico: O/U 161.5
Regatas vs. Olimpico
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 98.55%, up 48.6 percentage points from 50% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 50% → 99%
+48.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 98.55%, up 48.6 percentage points from 50% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 50% to 98.55% (+48.55 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T09:00:35.157Z to 2026-10-19T09:17:47.482Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 50% → 98.55%
Probability moved from 50% to 98.55% (+48.55 percentage points). Observations were 17 minutes 12 seconds apart: 2026-10-19 09:00:35 UTC to 2026-10-19 09:17:47 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.7% to 2.05% (-47.65 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T09:00:35.157Z to 2026-10-19T09:17:47.482Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 2.1% to 49.7% (+47.6 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T08:32:19.962Z to 2026-10-19T08:47:20.274Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 99.55% to 50% (-49.55 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T04:15:21.343Z to 2026-10-19T04:30:04.529Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the upcoming LNB game, scheduled for October 18 at 7:30PM ET: If the Regatas win, the market will resolve to "Regatas". If the Olimpico win, the market will resolve to "Olimpico". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Living timeline · 4 significant updates
Regatas vs. Olimpico: O/U 161.5 — probability rises to 98.55%
Keep exploring
Regatas vs. Olimpico
PlungeRegatas vs. Olimpico
SurgeRegatas vs. Olimpico
PlungeRegatas vs. Olimpico
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