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Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

In the upcoming LNB game, scheduled for October 12 at 9:00PM ET: If the Olimpico win, the market will resolve to "Olimpico".

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+77.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

2 outcomes

  • Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors

    +77.5 pp 24h100%

  • Spread: Boca Juniors (-7.5)

    -54.4 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors — probability falls to 99.6%

This outcome's observed probability decreased by 0.35 percentage points to 99.6%, from 99.95%.

Olimpico: 100% → 100%

-0.4 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

This outcome's observed probability decreased by 0.35 percentage points to 99.6%, from 99.95%.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The market observations support the prices and change shown here. A price move alone cannot confirm a real-world result or explain traders' decisions.

    The measured move

    Olimpico: 100.0% → 99.6%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 99.95% to 99.6% (-0.35 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 10 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 04:00:56 UTC to 2026-10-13 04:10:06 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming LNB game, scheduled for October 12 at 9:00PM ET: If the Olimpico win, the market will resolve to "Olimpico". If the Boca Juniors win, the market will resolve to "Boca Juniors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Living timeline · 5 significant updates

Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors — probability falls to 99.6%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Plunge

Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors — probability falls to 99.6%

Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors

Surge

Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors — probability rises to 99.95%

Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors

Surge

Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors — probability rises to 96.75%

Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors

Surge

Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors — probability rises to 90%

Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors

Plunge

Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors — probability falls to 87%

Olimpico vs. Boca Juniors

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