This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title.
Current leader
100%
100%
1 outcome
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 4?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 98.75%, up 5.8 percentage points from 92.9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 93% → 99%
+5.8 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 98.75%, up 5.8 percentage points from 92.9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 92.9% to 98.75% (+5.85 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T16:34:37.064Z to 2026-11-04T16:47:57.974Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 92.9% → 98.75%
Probability moved from 92.9% to 98.75% (+5.85 percentage points). Observations were 13 minutes 21 seconds apart: 2026-11-04 16:34:37 UTC to 2026-11-04 16:47:57 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 4? — probability rises to 98.75%
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