More markets for the Azerbaijan Premier League game, scheduled for October 16 at 7:00 AM ET.
Current leader
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4 outcomes
Shamakhi FK vs. Safa: O/U 4.5
Shamakhi FK vs. Safa: O/U 3.5
Shamakhi FK vs. Safa: Safa 1st Half O/U 0.5
Spread: Safa (-3.5)
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0.4%, down 49.6 percentage points from 50% in the latest observation window. The cause of this move is not established.
Safa: 50% → 0%
-49.6 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 0.4%, down 49.6 percentage points from 50% in the latest observation window. The cause of this move is not established.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50% to 0.4% (-49.6 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T12:49:23.004Z to 2026-10-16T13:04:27.084Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Safa: 50% → 0.4%
Probability moved from 50% to 0.4% (-49.6 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 4 seconds apart: 2026-10-16 12:49:23 UTC to 2026-10-16 13:04:27 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.5% to 50% (+49.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T12:33:19.007Z to 2026-10-16T12:49:23.004Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 46.05% to 0.5% (-45.55 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T12:03:05.980Z to 2026-10-16T12:21:39.143Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.5% to 46.05% (+45.55 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T11:33:20.179Z to 2026-10-16T12:03:05.980Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.95% to 0.5% (-49.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T11:17:44.604Z to 2026-10-16T11:33:20.179Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.55% to 49.95% (+49.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T10:34:13.027Z to 2026-10-16T11:17:44.604Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the Azerbaijan Premier League game, scheduled for October 16 at 7:00 AM ET.
Living timeline · 6 significant updates
Spread: Safa (-3.5) — probability falls to 0.4%
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