Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic
By PolySays EditorialReporting published Editorial method
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Hamad Medjedovic in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
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- Current leader
- 100%Set Handicap: Thiago Agustin Tirante (-1.5) vs Hamad Medjedovic (+1.5)
- Largest 24h move
- +62.0 pp
- 24h volume
- 38.5
- Liquidity
- 0
Top candidates
1 outcome
Set Handicap: Thiago Agustin Tirante (-1.5) vs Hamad Medjedovic (+1.5)
100%
+62.0 pp 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Hamad Medjedovic in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Hamad Medjedovic. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
Read the complete resolution rules
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Set Handicap: Thiago Agustin Tirante (-1.5) vs Hamad Medjedovic (+1.5) — probability rises to 99.95%
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Latest chart observation: . Reporting is updated separately.
Story so far
Published updateThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 9.5 percentage points from 90.5% in the latest observation window. The price increase is recorded; its cause remains unverified.
This summary reflects the reporting below. Market odds can change between published updates.
Latest published update
Published
Set Handicap: Thiago Agustin Tirante (-1.5) vs Hamad Medjedovic (+1.5) — probability rises to 99.95%
The tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 9.5 percentage points from 90.5% in the latest observation window. The price increase is recorded; its cause remains unverified.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No confirmed catalyst is recorded in this summary.
Unresolved questions
- Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The market data establishes the size and direction of the change. A dated source addressing the exact contract would be needed to add an explanation.
What changed
Probability moved from 90.5% to 99.95% (+9.45 percentage points). Observations were 28 minutes 55 seconds apart: 2026-10-08 07:04:46 UTC to 2026-10-08 07:33:40 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
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