By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Krajicek/Mektic and Miedler/Oberleitner in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
Current leader
9.5%
10%
1 outcome
Set 1 Winner: Krajicek/Mektic vs Miedler/Oberleitner
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 9.5%, up 9.0 percentage points from 0.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Krajicek/Mektic: 1% → 10%
+9.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 9.5%, up 9.0 percentage points from 0.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.
The measured move
Krajicek/Mektic: 0.5% → 9.5%
Probability moved from 0.5% to 9.5% (+9 percentage points). Observations were 29 minutes 42 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 08:07:24 UTC to 2026-10-13 08:37:06 UTC.
Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Krajicek/Mektic and Miedler/Oberleitner in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Krajicek/Mektic' if the team of Krajicek/Mektic advances against Miedler/Oberleitner. This market will resolve to 'Miedler/Oberleitner' if the team of Miedler/Oberleitner advances against Krajicek/Mektic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Set 1 Winner: Krajicek/Mektic vs Miedler/Oberleitner — probability rises to 9.5%
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