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Catania: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Luca Potenza

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

This market refers to the tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Luca Potenza in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

Current leader

0%

0%

Largest 24h move-74.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$11.2K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

3 outcomes

  • Catania: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Luca Potenza

    -74.5 pp 24h0%

  • Set 1 Winner: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Luca Potenza

    -63.5 pp 24h0%

  • Set Handicap: Oriol Roca Batalla (-1.5) vs Luca Potenza (+1.5)

    -55.0 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Catania: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Luca Potenza — probability falls to 0.05%

The latest observation puts this outcome at 0.05%, compared with 9.5% at the start of the window.

Oriol Roca Batalla: 10% → 0%

-9.4 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The latest observation puts this outcome at 0.05%, compared with 9.5% at the start of the window.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. This brief records how the contract was priced at two points in time. The direction and size of the move are measured; a reason for the move has not been verified.

    The measured move

    Oriol Roca Batalla: 9.5% → 0.1%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 9.5% to 0.05% (-9.45 percentage points). Observations were 19 minutes 50 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 12:42:30 UTC to 2026-10-13 13:02:20 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This market refers to the tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Luca Potenza in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Luca Potenza. This market will resolve to 'Luca Potenza' if Luca Potenza advances against Oriol Roca Batalla.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

Read the complete resolution rules

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 2 significant updates

Catania: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Luca Potenza — probability falls to 0.05%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Plunge

Catania: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Luca Potenza — probability falls to 0.05%

Catania: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Luca Potenza

Plunge

Catania: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Luca Potenza — probability falls to 9.5%

Catania: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Luca Potenza

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