activeElectionsBill Walker +10% 24h

Alaska Governor Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

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Current leader
Tom Begich 31%
Largest 24h move
Bill Walker +10%
24h volume
2.9K
Liquidity
384.8K

Top candidates

22 outcomes

Tom Begich

31%

0% 24h

Bernadette Wilson

24%

-3% 24h

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

15%

-2% 24h

Treg Taylor

8%

-2% 24h

David Bronson

6%

-0% 24h

Show all outcomes

Bill Walker

5%

+10%

Click Bishop

4%

+0%

Lisa Murkowski

1%

+0%

Jessica Faircloth

1%

0%

Nancy Dahlstrom

1%

-1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.

1%

0%

Lesil McGuire

1%

0%

Gregg Brelsford

1%

0%

Hank Kroll

1%

0%

Adam Crum

0%

0%

Matt Claman

0%

0%

Shelley Hughes

0%

0%

Edna DeVries

0%

0%

Mary Peltola

0%

0%

Matt Heilala

0%

0%

James Parkin

0%

0%

Bruce Walden

0%

0%

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.

If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Living timeline · 0 significant updates

See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest Tom Begich probability of 31%.

Story so far

Still building

No event-level story summary has been written yet.

There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.

Latest update

No updates yet

The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

No timeline entries match the current filters.