Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Current leader
- No 90%
- Leader 24h
- 0%
- 24h volume
- 1.1K
- Liquidity
- 16K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
90%
0% 24h
Yes
10%
0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 90%.
Story so far
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There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline