Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on October 7?
By PolySays EditorialReporting published Editorial method
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on October 7, 2026 is higher than the listed price.
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- Current leader
- 82%Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 7?
- Largest 24h move
- +45.0 pp
- 24h volume
- 287.7
- Liquidity
- 951.5
Top candidates
1 outcome
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 7?
82%
+45.0 pp 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on October 7, 2026 is higher than the listed price.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price.
Read the complete resolution rules
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 7? — probability rises to 95%
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Latest chart observation: . Reporting is updated separately.
Story so far
Published updateThe tracked probability rose to 95%, up 3.5 percentage points from 91.5% in the latest observation window. Why the probability rose is not established by the evidence attached to this update.
This summary reflects the reporting below. Market odds can change between published updates.
Latest published update
Published
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 7? — probability rises to 95%
The tracked probability rose to 95%, up 3.5 percentage points from 91.5% in the latest observation window. Why the probability rose is not established by the evidence attached to this update.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No confirmed catalyst is recorded in this summary.
Unresolved questions
- Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The figures show how the market's recorded probability changed over this window. They do not identify a catalyst or verify the eventual outcome.
What changed
Probability moved from 91.5% to 95% (+3.5 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 41 seconds apart: 2026-10-07 18:50:27 UTC to 2026-10-07 19:21:08 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
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