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#2 Spotify song this week? (October 9)

By PolySays EditorialReporting published Editorial method

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

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Current leader
95%Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week?
Largest 24h move
+75.8 pp
24h volume
7.2K
Liquidity
2.2K

Top candidates

2 outcomes

Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week?

95%

+75.8 pp 24h

Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #2 song this week?

3%

-74.9 pp 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled October 9. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart.

If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled October 9 by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

Read the complete resolution rules

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify.

Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Living timeline · 3 significant updates

Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #2 song this week? — probability falls to 6.35%

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Latest chart observation: . Reporting is updated separately.

Story so far

Published update

The tracked probability fell to 6.35%, down 6.0 percentage points from 12.35% in the latest observation window. The reason for this decrease has not been verified.

This summary reflects the reporting below. Market odds can change between published updates.

Latest published update

Published

Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #2 song this week? — probability falls to 6.35%

The tracked probability fell to 6.35%, down 6.0 percentage points from 12.35% in the latest observation window. The reason for this decrease has not been verified.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No confirmed catalyst is recorded in this summary.

Unresolved questions

  • Watch for official confirmation, independent reporting, sustained volume, and whether later market observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. This update compares two recorded prices. A price change does not, by itself, confirm a development in the underlying event.

    What changed

    Probability moved from 12.35% to 6.35% (-6 percentage points). Observations were 11 minutes 16 seconds apart: 2026-10-08 15:40:08 UTC to 2026-10-08 15:51:25 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official confirmation, independent reporting, sustained volume, and whether later market observations hold the new level.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Keep exploring

More market explanations

Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #2 song this week? — probability falls to 6.35%

#2 Spotify song this week? (October 9)

Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #2 song this week? — probability falls to 12.35%

#2 Spotify song this week? (October 9)

Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #2 song this week? — probability falls to 15.6%

#2 Spotify song this week? (October 9)