Latest update
NewsPartly sourcedCoinDesk: Solana sets Oct. 21 for Alpenglow upgrade targeting 150-millisecond finality
CoinDesk reports: “Solana sets Oct. 21 for Alpenglow upgrade targeting 150-millisecond finality”
Yes: 2% → 11%
+9.4 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title.
Leading outcome
0%
0%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
NewsPartly sourcedCoinDesk reports: “Solana sets Oct. 21 for Alpenglow upgrade targeting 150-millisecond finality”
Yes: 2% → 11%
+9.4 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
CoinDesk's report states: “The switch will replace Solana’s existing validator voting system, remove vote transactions from blocks and could sharply change headline transaction counts even if user activity stays flat.” The contract asks: “Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on October 17?” This is reporting about Solana; it supplies context and does not establish that the contract's condition has been met.
The measured move
Yes: 1.5% → 10.9%
Probability moved from 1.5% to 10.9% (+9.4 percentage points). Observations were 5 minutes 44 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 18:12:24 UTC to 2026-10-14 18:18:08 UTC.
Follow the cited report and subsequent developments against the contract's exact conditions. PolySays has not verified official exchange settlement.
www.coindesk.com
The switch will replace Solana’s existing validator voting system, remove vote transactions from blocks and could sharply change headline transaction counts even if user activity stays flat.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
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Source market
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Story so far
Recently updatedCoinDesk reports: “Solana sets Oct. 21 for Alpenglow upgrade targeting 150-millisecond finality”
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story