This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
Leading outcome
27.4%
27%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 27.35%, up 11.6 percentage points from 15.75% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 16% → 27%
+11.6 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 15.75% to 27.35% (+11.6 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T05:48:30.449Z to 2026-10-30T06:01:20.817Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 15.75% → 27.35%
Probability moved from 15.75% to 27.35% (+11.6 percentage points). Observations were 12 minutes 50 seconds apart: 2026-10-30 05:48:30 UTC to 2026-10-30 06:01:20 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 12.05% to 16.8% (+4.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T04:32:37.293Z to 2026-10-30T05:00:59.308Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.