This market will resolve to the player who records the most assists through all main tournament rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League competition.
Leading outcome
2%
2%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0.65%, down 13.7 percentage points from 14.35% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 14% → 1%
-13.7 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 14.35% to 0.65% (-13.7 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T11:15:49.928Z to 2026-10-20T11:31:11.217Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 14.35% → 0.65%
Probability moved from 14.35% to 0.65% (-13.7 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 21 seconds apart: 2026-10-20 11:15:49 UTC to 2026-10-20 11:31:11 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 2.9% to 14.35% (+11.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T11:01:46.732Z to 2026-10-20T11:15:49.928Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 14.35% to 2.4% (-11.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T10:32:00.001Z to 2026-10-20T10:47:08.687Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 2.35% to 12.9% (+10.55 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T09:32:17.451Z to 2026-10-20T10:00:36.194Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 19.6% to 2.3% (-17.3 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T09:00:50.944Z to 2026-10-20T09:17:30.377Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 2.95% to 19.6% (+16.65 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T08:45:38.253Z to 2026-10-20T09:00:50.944Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 21.05% to 2.95% (-18.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T08:30:12.976Z to 2026-10-20T08:45:38.253Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 2.95% to 21.05% (+18.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T08:01:12.859Z to 2026-10-20T08:19:56.494Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market will resolve to the player who records the most assists through all main tournament rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA. If multiple leaders are announced, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will Michal Sadílek record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? — probability falls to 0.65%