This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player wins a 2026 Rawlings Gold Glove Award for the National League at any position, including the utility award.
Leading outcome
48%
48%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 44.5%, up 7.0 percentage points from 37.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 38% → 45%
+7.0 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 37.5% to 44.5% (+7 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:30:29.244Z to 2026-10-21T05:47:59.199Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 37.5% → 44.5%
Probability moved from 37.5% to 44.5% (+7 percentage points). Observations were 17 minutes 30 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 05:30:29 UTC to 2026-10-21 05:47:59 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 46.5% to 37.5% (-9 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:32:51.721Z to 2026-10-21T04:47:12.589Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 37.5% to 46.5% (+9 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T01:16:29.459Z to 2026-10-21T01:30:53.499Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 46.5% to 37.5% (-9 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T01:02:39.525Z to 2026-10-21T01:16:29.459Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 37.5% to 46.5% (+9 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T00:49:58.701Z to 2026-10-21T01:02:39.525Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 46.5% to 37.5% (-9 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T00:15:37.453Z to 2026-10-21T00:33:00.333Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 37.5% to 46.5% (+9 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T23:46:35.952Z to 2026-10-21T00:01:44.863Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 46.5% to 37.5% (-9 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T23:30:11.433Z to 2026-10-20T23:46:35.952Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player wins a 2026 Rawlings Gold Glove Award for the National League at any position, including the utility award.
Resolves No
Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no official 2026 National League Rawlings Gold Glove Award winners are announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rawlings and Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
Will Michael McGreevy win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? — probability rises to 44.5%