This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player wins a 2026 Rawlings Gold Glove Award for the National League at any position, including the utility award.
Leading outcome
71.5%
72%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 70.6%, down 23.3 percentage points from 93.85% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 94% → 71%
-23.3 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 93.85% to 70.6% (-23.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T23:02:19.474Z to 2026-10-20T23:17:47.845Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 93.85% → 70.6%
Probability moved from 93.85% to 70.6% (-23.25 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 28 seconds apart: 2026-10-20 23:02:19 UTC to 2026-10-20 23:17:47 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 88.15% to 93.05% (+4.9 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T21:33:27.573Z to 2026-10-20T21:47:40.010Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 78.4% to 88.2% (+9.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T17:01:46.397Z to 2026-10-20T17:17:53.815Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 88.2% to 78.35% (-9.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T15:51:45.778Z to 2026-10-20T16:01:42.707Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 78.45% to 88.2% (+9.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T14:00:04.954Z to 2026-10-20T14:17:37.347Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 93.05% to 78.35% (-14.7 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T12:30:12.712Z to 2026-10-20T12:46:49.756Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 88.2% to 93.05% (+4.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T11:31:11.217Z to 2026-10-20T11:46:20.282Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 78.4% to 88.2% (+9.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T10:17:52.816Z to 2026-10-20T10:32:00.001Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player wins a 2026 Rawlings Gold Glove Award for the National League at any position, including the utility award.
Resolves No
Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no official 2026 National League Rawlings Gold Glove Award winners are announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rawlings and Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
PolySays is independent and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, sponsored by, or operated by Polymarket. PolySays provides informational and educational content only and does not provide financial, betting, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prediction markets involve risk, and regulatory status varies by jurisdiction.
Source market
Figures refresh periodically, not tick by tick. PolySays explains markets; it doesn’t run one or give trading advice.
View on PolymarketPolySays may earn referral rewards from Polymarket links at no added cost to you. Full disclosure.
Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
Will Mauricio Dubón win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? — probability falls to 70.6%