This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified team reaches the Grand Final of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Grand Final scheduled for November 14, 2026.
Leading outcome
3.5%
3%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 2.5%, down 7.5 percentage points from 10% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 10% → 3%
-7.5 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 10% to 2.5% (-7.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T23:01:37.521Z to 2026-10-17T23:17:26.761Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 10% → 2.5%
Probability moved from 10% to 2.5% (-7.5 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 49 seconds apart: 2026-10-17 23:01:37 UTC to 2026-10-17 23:17:26 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 14.8% to 10% (-4.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T22:46:51.520Z to 2026-10-17T23:01:37.521Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 10.9% to 14.8% (+3.9 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T22:31:13.091Z to 2026-10-17T22:46:51.520Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 7.8% to 10.9% (+3.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T22:17:02.108Z to 2026-10-17T22:31:13.091Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 11.8% to 7.8% (-4 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T22:02:26.526Z to 2026-10-17T22:17:02.108Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 7.4% to 11.8% (+4.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T21:45:43.728Z to 2026-10-17T22:02:26.526Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 11.25% to 7.4% (-3.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T21:30:16.802Z to 2026-10-17T21:45:43.728Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 7.7% to 13.4% (+5.7 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T21:00:49.454Z to 2026-10-17T21:17:15.504Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified team reaches the Grand Final of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Grand Final scheduled for November 14, 2026.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A team is considered to have made the Grand Final if it is one of the two teams that competes in the Grand Final match, regardless of the Grand Final's outcome. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the Grand Final participants have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (. However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at may also be used.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.