This market will resolve to the next team Jonathan Taylor officially joins by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Leading outcome
2.5%
3%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 2.55%, down 42.8 percentage points from 45.3% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 45% → 3%
-42.8 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 45.3% to 2.55% (-42.75 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T21:35:55.122Z to 2026-11-04T21:47:30.336Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 45.3% → 2.55%
Probability moved from 45.3% to 2.55% (-42.75 percentage points). Observations were 11 minutes 35 seconds apart: 2026-11-04 21:35:55 UTC to 2026-11-04 21:47:30 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 2.95% to 45.3% (+42.35 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T21:01:46.948Z to 2026-11-04T21:35:55.122Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.85% to 2.95% (-46.9 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T20:32:20.148Z to 2026-11-04T21:01:46.948Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.05% to 49.85% (+46.8 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T20:02:17.430Z to 2026-11-04T20:32:20.148Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.7% to 3.05% (-46.65 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T19:32:44.238Z to 2026-11-04T20:02:17.430Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 2.9% to 49.7% (+46.8 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T19:00:55.361Z to 2026-11-04T19:32:44.238Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 45.45% to 3% (-42.45 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T16:02:12.011Z to 2026-11-04T16:17:41.246Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 2.5% to 45.45% (+42.95 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T15:46:53.583Z to 2026-11-04T16:02:12.011Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market will resolve to the next team Jonathan Taylor officially joins by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Jonathan Taylor does not officially join a new team by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Indianapolis Colts”. If Jonathan Taylor joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Jonathan Taylor is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official trade announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Indianapolis Colts and/or the acquiring team.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.