This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately once the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issues a Tropical Cyclone Warning for In-fa (JTWC tropical cyclone 30W) whose title designates the storm a "Super Typhoon", provided that warning is issued by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
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100%
100%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
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Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately once the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issues a Tropical Cyclone Warning for In-fa (JTWC tropical cyclone 30W) whose title designates the storm a "Super Typhoon", provided that warning is issued by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
JTWC designates a "Super Typhoon" when a warning lists maximum sustained winds (one-minute average) of 130 kt or more. Only the designation in a warning's title will be considered. Forecast intensities within a warning, prognostic reasoning, Significant Tropical Weather Advisories, and post-season best track data will not be considered for resolution.
Classifications issued by any agency other than JTWC, including JMA, will not be considered for resolution. If JTWC issues its final warning for In-fa without having designated it a "Super Typhoon", this market will resolve to "No" at that time. No substitute data provider will be used. If JTWC corrects or amends a warning before this market resolves, the corrected warning will be used. Otherwise the issued warning stands.
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Temporary display glitches that do not appear in JTWC's issued warnings will not be considered. Otherwise, once an issued warning has designated In-fa a "Super Typhoon", this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, regardless of any later warning, amendment, or revision. Every market in this event may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Tropical Cyclone Warnings issued by JTWC for In-fa (30W) at, specifically the storm designation in each warning's title (for example, "SUPER TYPHOON 30W (IN-FA) WARNING"). Please note that this market is about the designation according to JTWC, not according to JMA or any other agency.