If a tie still persists, each tied pitcher's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
Leading outcome
35.5%
36%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 35.5%, down 9.5 percentage points from 45% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 45% → 36%
-9.5 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 45% to 35.5% (-9.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:19:22.060Z to 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 45% → 35.5%
Probability moved from 45% to 35.5% (-9.5 percentage points). Observations were 13 minutes 6 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 06:19:22 UTC to 2026-10-21 06:32:28 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 35.5% to 45% (+9.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:47:59.199Z to 2026-10-21T06:19:22.060Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 45% to 35.5% (-9.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:32:51.721Z to 2026-10-21T04:47:12.589Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 41.5% to 45% (+3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:20:41.613Z to 2026-10-21T04:32:51.721Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 45% to 41.5% (-3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:02:56.817Z to 2026-10-21T04:20:41.613Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 35.5% to 45% (+9.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:47:54.820Z to 2026-10-21T04:02:56.817Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 41.5% to 35.5% (-6 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T21:04:34.416Z to 2026-10-20T21:19:32.293Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50.5% to 40% (-10.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T15:01:00.888Z to 2026-10-20T15:16:44.430Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
If a tie still persists, each tied pitcher's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolves No
If a tie still persists, each tied pitcher's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most strikeouts. In the event of a tie for the most strikeouts, this market will resolve in favor of the tied pitcher with the higher strikeouts per nine innings across the 2026 MLB Postseason. Only strikeouts in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market.
The 2026 MLB Postseason comprises the Wild Card Series, the Division Series, the League Championship Series, and the World Series. Regular season games, exhibition games, and any tiebreaker or "Game 163" will not be considered part of the 2026 MLB Postseason. The "Other" market will resolve to "Yes" if the pitcher who leads is not among the listed pitchers.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
If the 2026 MLB Postseason is cancelled, or the World Series has not concluded by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, every named pitcher's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.