This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Clayface is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on October 26, 2026.
Leading outcome
42%
42%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 42%, up 10.0 percentage points from 32% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 32% → 42%
+10.0 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 32% to 42% (+10 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T07:04:50.573Z to 2026-10-21T09:30:13.568Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 32% → 42%
Probability moved from 32% to 42% (+10 percentage points). Observations were 2 hours 25 minutes 23 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 07:04:50 UTC to 2026-10-21 09:30:13 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 41.5% to 32% (-9.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T21:19:32.293Z to 2026-10-20T21:33:27.573Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 37.5% to 43.5% (+6 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T17:31:56.258Z to 2026-10-20T20:51:55.691Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 30% to 38% (+8 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T10:32:00.001Z to 2026-10-20T10:47:08.687Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Clayface is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on October 26, 2026.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Living timeline · 4 significant updates
Will "Clayface" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? — probability rises to 42%
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.