This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named FLEX-eligible player (running back, wide receiver, or tight end) finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 12 FLEX-eligible players by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring…
Leading outcome
60%
60%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 59.5%, down 8.5 percentage points from 68% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 68% → 60%
-8.5 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 68% to 59.5% (-8.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T02:46:22.190Z to 2026-10-21T03:02:30.010Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 68% → 59.5%
Probability moved from 68% to 59.5% (-8.5 percentage points). Observations were 16 minutes 8 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 02:46:22 UTC to 2026-10-21 03:02:30 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 63% to 68% (+5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T02:30:47.318Z to 2026-10-21T02:46:22.190Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 56.5% to 63% (+6.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T02:17:52.020Z to 2026-10-21T02:30:47.318Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 66.5% to 56.5% (-10 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T01:30:53.499Z to 2026-10-21T01:45:36.198Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 57.5% to 61% (+3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T12:46:49.756Z to 2026-10-20T13:00:19.880Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 44.5% to 57.5% (+13 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T11:46:20.282Z to 2026-10-20T12:01:26.940Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 57.5% to 40.5% (-17 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T08:19:56.494Z to 2026-10-20T08:30:12.976Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 63.5% to 54.5% (-9 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T04:30:42.004Z to 2026-10-20T05:01:09.907Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named FLEX-eligible player (running back, wide receiver, or tight end) finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 12 FLEX-eligible players by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports.
Resolves No
Otherwise, that market will resolve to "No".
Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more FLEX-eligible players are tied such that more than 12 would qualify for the top 12, the tie will be broken by higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season, and if a tie still persists, by last name in alphabetical order, so that exactly 12 FLEX-eligible players are classified as top 12.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the rankings cannot be determined within this timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (.